Today’s Scripture Reading (March 5, 2020): Isaiah 38
& 39
Diplomacy has
often contained an element of the magician’s sleight of hand or a poker player’s
bluff. The question a good diplomat strives to get to the bottom of is this;
What are you hiding from me? It is often a weaker power that reveals everything
that they have to a foreign diplomat. The bluster of that “new missile” or the “state
of the art submarine” is an attempt to get others to believe that you have more
than you really possess. It is often not the leader who proudly parades his military
in front of the world that should worry us. If they were playing poker, these
leaders are usually trying to bluff you nothing more than “Jack High” in their
hand. They can have state of the art computer graphics about the dangers of their
new weapon, but often the only thing state of the art about the actual weapon
is the graphics used to advertise it.
No, the powers who
need to be feared are the quiet ones who reveal nothing. No one has any idea
what kind of a hand that they are really holding. And therein lies the problem.
Because no one is sure about the hand that they are holding, there is always the
possibility that it might be stronger than anyone believes that it is.
On the World
stage, an example of this kind of diplomacy reigns in Israel. It has been long believed
that Israel has nuclear weapons and a rudimentary but accurate delivery system.
But even though most experts believe that Israel is a nuclear power and has
been since around 1966, Israel has never shown anyone their arsenal. They also
have never attempted a nuclear test. We don’t know what they possess or how sophisticated
their weapons might be. In the world of diplomacy, this kind of tactic is known
as “strategic ambiguity,” a practice where a country is purposely ambiguous
about certain parts of its foreign policy. Poke the bear if you must, but you
don’t know who strong they might be, or how deadly their response.
Israel’s current
diplomatic strategy is the total reverse to what it was under Hezekiah. While contemporary
Israel understands that its fate might be dependent on keeping its neighbors
guessing as to its real military strength, pride made Hezekiah throw open the doors
on every part of the kingdom. No room remained off-limits to the envoys from
Babylon. The Babylonians now knew the wealth and the relative strength of
Judah. And that was knowledge that would come in handy a little more than a
century later.
Hezekiah allowed
for no mystery and no ambiguity. He was proud off all that he possessed and
probably believed that revealing what he had might make him a more prominent player
in the politics of his world. But instead, it made him look weak, a king that
was holding “Jack high,” but trying to pretend that it was something stronger.
And while Hezekiah would not pay the price for his doomed diplomatic strategy,
his nation would.
Tomorrow’s Scripture Reading: 2
Kings 17
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